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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: cardcounter who wrote (30930)8/11/1998 5:36:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (5) of 132070
 
CC, Leave nothing to any drunken millers. <G>

The preferred way should be to buy Templeton Russia (TRF) or Morgan Stanley Russia (RNE). Unfortunately, both of these CEFs are selling at large premiums. Here is the way I would play it and my reasoning.

After the devaluation and before the IMF, buy a basket that includes Aim Eastern Europe (GTF)-22% discount, Central European Equity (CEE)-11% discount, Central European Value (CRF)-21% discount, Emerging Germany (FRG)-15%, and Austria Fund (OST)-22.4%. True, they are not directly invested in Russia, but these are Russia's trading partners and the biggest investment countries in Russia. There might be a lag effect, but they will prosper if Russia shows any sign of life. And it sure beats buying a Russian fund at a 50% premium.

I realize this is kind of a convoluted way to play, but it is the cheapest and safest way, IMHO.

MB
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