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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 220.66+1.6%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST
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To: umbro who wrote (13136)8/12/1998 6:32:00 PM
From: umbro  Read Replies (3) of 164684
 
AMZN options report for 08/12/98
AMZN price: 130.375
Options Study for: AUG
put break-even: 122.21 OI = 12923 VOL = 2730
call break-even: 133.75 OI = 22708 VOL = 6443
max. pain: 110.09 R = 0.6 R = 0.4
Options Study for: SEP
put break-even: 109.31 OI = 2209 VOL = 468
call break-even: 141.52 OI = 3774 VOL = 1582
max. pain: 120.04 R = 0.6 R = 0.3
Options Study for: OCT
put break-even: 105.63 OI = 3094 VOL = 156
call break-even: 143.96 OI = 7387 VOL = 406
max. pain: 98.03 R = 0.4 R = 0.4
Options Study for: JAN
put break-even: 97.01 OI = 2141 VOL = 56
call break-even: 154.23 OI = 3428 VOL = 276
max. pain: 99.99 R = 0.6 R = 0.2
net long/short: 1.69 mil.
i.v. for AUG = 0.73
i.v. for SEP = 0.81
i.v. for OCT = 0.79
i.v. for JAN = 0.79

I missed yesterday's report. Looks like The Besst is back to its
old tricks. Implied vols. continue to drop. Back in August,
the front month was trading at an implied of 100%, now it has
dropped back to 73%, which is in line with historic volatility.
Put/call ratios massively skewed to the call side (no wonder).
If the "max. pain" scenario holds, then AMZN has a major amount
of retracing to do. One more up day like today, and I'd look
to buy a few puts, mostly as a short-term trade. Noone is letting
the air out of the balloon yet.
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