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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout!
LGND 195.64-1.0%3:30 PM EST

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To: Machaon who wrote (24445)8/13/1998 1:38:00 PM
From: growthvalue  Read Replies (3) of 32384
 
It's pretty much a foregone conclusion that the FDA is going to approve Ontak. I've never heard of a unanimous advisory panel being overturned.

I haven't done a present value calculation for ONTAK, but I will say that I think the market had already priced an ONTAK approval into SRGN's stock, with only maybe a small risk discount that the drug would not get approved. I say this because the market was clearly not particularly surprised when the advisory panel recommended ONTAK. If I recall correctly, LGND went down that day. However, that could be related to the market's opinion of the price LGND was paying (which was contingent on an approval recommendation.

I don't recall how Seragen reacted, though.
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