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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24376)	8/15/1998 4:47:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard	Read Replies (1) of 94695

Jim, I have been trying to analyze our scans to see if we are missing something. The 200 DMA that we started with was too slow but I am wondering if it is still not relevant for the following reason: Thinking out loud here as I am not an expert in statistics.... The more that fall to the 10 & 20 DMA the less we will see fall???? In otherwords the smaller the %age change we will see???? Am I out in left field here? What got me to thinking about this is this. As I was posting the 200 DMA scans for Friday I noticed that they actually looked worse than the 10 & 20 DMA scans. Anyway, here are the 200 DMA's NYSE NASD NASD100 S&P100 S&P400 07/20/98 48.1% 35.4% 62.0% 68.0% 56.3% 07/21/98 47.0% 33.9% 61.0% 63.0% 53.8% 07/22/98 45.9% 33.5% 59.0% 66.0% 51.3% 07/23/98 41.9% 32.0% 55.0% 58.0% 45.3% 07/24/98 41.6% 32.3% 55.0% 58.0% 44.5% 07/27/98 40.1% 31.8% 56.0% 59.0% 43.3% 07/28/98 38.0% 31.0% 55.0% 55.0% 39.8% 07/29/98 37.7% 30.0% 53.0% 55.0% 38.0% 07/30/98 38.7% 31.6% 58.0% 58.0% 41.5% 07/31/98 36.0% 29.9% 52.0% 55.0% 37.0% 08/03/98 34.4% 27.2% 50.0% 55.0% 35.0% 08/04/98 30.1% 23.9% 45.0% 51.0% 28.5% 08/05/98 29.2% 22.5% 47.0% 50.0% 28.5% 08/06/98 30.3% 24.7% 49.0% 48.0% 31.0% 08/07/98 32.6% 25.8% 51.0% 49.0% 35.3% 08/10/98 31.0% 25.5% 52.0% 50.0% 32.3% 08/11/98 24.8% 19.7% 46.0% 47.0% 26.0% 08/12/98 26.6% 20.6% 50.0% 52.0% 30.5% 08/13/98 25.3% 20.0% 48.0% 48.0% 28.0% 08/14/98 24.4% 19.8% 45.0% 42.0% 27.0% S&P 500 S&P600 R2000 SP600 SP500 07/20/98 63.6% 47.8% 92.0% 92.0% 07/21/98 61.6% 46.0% 92.0% 90.0% 07/22/98 61.4% 44.5% 88.0% 94.0% 07/23/98 56.8% 41.8% 86.0% 86.0% 07/24/98 55.4% 40.2% 86.0% 92.0% 07/27/98 56.2% 38.5% 84.0% 92.0% 07/28/98 52.2% 36.7% 80.0% 86.0% 07/29/98 51.8% 37.2% 74.0% 90.0% 07/30/98 53.4% 38.0% 78.0% 90.0% 07/31/98 48.4% 33.0% 72.0% 86.0% 08/03/98 47.2% 30.5% 70.0% 86.0% 08/04/98 39.6% 25.2% 60.0% 76.0% 08/05/98 40.4% 25.8% 62.0% 76.0% 08/06/98 41.8% 29.7% 68.0% 74.0% 08/07/98 43.0% 33.8% 31.0% 70.0% 74.0% 08/10/98 41.2% 31.2% 29.2% 68.0% 74.0% 08/11/98 36.0% 24.5% 23.6% 56.0% 70.0% 08/12/98 41.0% 28.5% 26.8% 62.0% 76.0% 08/13/98 38.2% 26.5% 25.4% 58.0% 68.0% 08/14/98 34.6% 26.5% 25.0% 58.0% 64.0%

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