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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services
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To: Mike from La. who wrote (27836)8/16/1998 2:37:00 PM
From: Richard D  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
<<Unfortunately Clinton is too engrossed in his problems to want to lead a stronge action against Iraq, he would only be acccused of using it to divert attention from his case, and the UN doesn't appear to have any power, but there is still the possibility>>

More long shot analysis: I wonder if Clinton instructed Albright, et al., to suggest to U.N. inspectors that they lay off surprise inspections in order to 'appear' weak to Saddam. Saddam is always trying to gage the weakness of Western fortitude to push his agenda. There is of course the history of the U.S. giving a wink and a nod to Saddam, originally, when he was intimidating Kuwait. The U.S. then pounced on him when he went too far (not a well documented theory of events preceding the Gulf War and possibly untrue, but the US diplomats, in Iraq at the time, did at a minimum screw up conveying U.S. policy.) If Saddam sees weakness in this tough line the U.S. has had, he would make bolder and more provocative actions. These actions along with the Bomb issue would be just the excuse for military action. It's probably a little too Machiavellian for it to be true, but that is what the CIA is paid to do in its advice to the President.

Richard
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