The ISP Miracle - Different Types of ISPs
[All, this is a reprint of a July 1998 Telephony Magazine article. It doesn't mention our favorite form of ISP, namely the ITSP. Do I sense a form of denial here? <g> Frank C.] =============== By DAN TAYLOR
Most of us have watched in amazement as the Internet has grown rapidly over the past 5 years. More astounding is the growth of the Internet service provider (ISP) business. Yet, while many estimates place the number of ISPs at somewhere between 3000 and 4000, there is a great deal of uncertainty over the future of the ISPs.
Some observers predict that there will be consolidation as smaller ISPs are purchased by traditional telephone companies or larger ISPs. Others see the ISPs becoming their own types of telcos, as a number of ISPs have filed to become competitive local exchange carriers (CLECs).
Beyond the issue of what the market will look like is the greater issue of what role will ISPs play in the future of telecommunications.
Many technology vendors hope that ISPs and CLECs will be their channels to market, providing the feet on the ground and the expertise required to build networks, integrate software and provide a first line of customer service for technology and telecommunications services.
This role is a lot of responsibility. To better understand what the ISP market will look like and what role ISPs will play, it is best to first discuss the different types of ISPs.
Not all ISPs are the same
Just as there are local and long-distance telephone companies, there are different types of ISPs. The best way to define an ISP is to consider the type and geography that they operate. Some may operate a national or international frame relay or asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) network.
Others may only operate an Internet protocol (IP) network provisioned across public ATM services. There are some ISPs that don't even operate a network, instead reselling the dial-up modem access and adding their value with marketing and customer care.
Here are a a few different ISP types:
Backbone: Backbone ISPs often call themselves network service providers (NSP) to differentiate themselves. Typically, NSPs sell to other ISPs-their core competencies include managing the operations of a large network and handling the complexities of peering. UUNet is one of the best-known (and most successful) of the backbone ISPs. 1
Regional: Regional ISPs operate metropolitan or regional networks to service a local customer base. For services outside of their base geography, regional ISPs usually resell a national dial-up network provided by an NSP.
National Dial-up: These service providers operate a very limited network, usually restricted to a server farm for e-mail, authentication and billing. The networks that they use are operated by an NSP. America OnLine is a national dial-up provider that uses networks operated by Sprint, MCI, UUNet and GTE Internetworking.
Content Provider: Content providers aggregate content and host applications and Web sites. This is one of the most rapidly growing parts of the ISP business, because it promises high margins while the network access component of the ISP business is moving to commodity pricing.
Realistically, there are many ISPs who fit into some, or all, of these descriptions. As the market becomes increasingly competitive, business models and core competencies will become key differentiators.
The business that is most at threat is the full-service ISP. This is the ISP that grew out a basement or a garage. Today, the ISP may have a local or regional customer base, and it operates and markets all of its services internally-from dial-up access
to Web hosting and e-mail.
At issue are the economics of operating and marketing a wide variety of services with a single team. As the business grows, many full-service ISPs find it difficult to scale their organizations in all directions at one time. As a result, growing companies tend to focus on a particular set of services, which is why we now seeWeb hosting companies and national backbone providers.
Network Operations vs. Service Delivery
Probably the most pronounced specialization that we have seen is in companies who focus on reselling backbone Internet connectivity. The backbone business is one of efficiently operating a national network. As national backbone NSPs have grown, so too have companies who focus on marketing services on the backbone.
This change is the fundamental shift in the ISP market. Operating a marketing channel for IP services, many ISPs never get involved in the details of operating an IP network. Instead, they focus on sales and customer support. While the NSPs find their economies of scale in operating a large network, other ISPs find their sweet spot in marketing the services available on the network. This is the fundamental difference between network operations and service delivery-they are two distinct IP services businesses.
We know from experience that there are markets for local telephone service and for long-distance as well, and these businesses have different operating efficiencies.
The Miracle
When we discuss theISP miracle, we are talking about the very fact that a business has developed for the delivery of alternative telecommunications services. The Internet represents a set of interactive services and customer relationships that incumbent telcos and cable companies did not create.
Any telco can operate an IP network, but can they create the relationship around a set of interactive services?
Many of the ISPs have already figured this challenge out.
Can They Do It All?
But the question still remains: Can ISPs do it all? Can they be systems and network integrators? Can they be the channel for everything from phone systems and groupware?
Everyone else is placing a lot of hope on the ISPs--and this expectation is unrealistic. ISPs cannot be all things to all people. Very few of them operate this way today, and specialization will continue to be the name of the game in this arena.
Some ISPs will be systems and network integrators. Others will sell services to consumers. Many will merge or partner with other types of telecommunications service providers.
Realistically, predictions for the future of ISPs lie in their business models. Every ISP is, first and foremost, a business. Each ISP must be able to make money in the activities they choose to pursue. This reality holds true whether they sell routers, servers or software, or provide Web hosting services.
Each ISP is a business. To understand the future for IP services, you must remember one key fact: Each successful ISP is a profitable business. Dan Taylor (taylor@aberdeen.com) is Director, Global Telecom Research, at The Aberdeen Group, a Boston-based technology consulting firm.
The August edition of The Analyst's Corner will be online Monday, August 17.
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