Wall Street unhappy with FCC proposal
August 19, 1998
Network World via NewsEdge Corporation : New York
Wall Street is turning thumbs down on a government proposal to encourage large local carriers to speed up their broadband access-lin e deployments.
With the entire stock market reeling, investment analysts say regional Bell operating companies are getting no help from a Federal C ommunications Commission proposal authorizing the creation of separate data-services subsidiaries that would escape some traditional telecom regulations.
The Aug. 6 proposal would enable RBOCs to establish partially deregulated "advanced network subsidiaries" housing high-speed equipme nt such as digital subscriber line access multiplexers (DSLAM). Such equipment terminates new DSL services, which support data downl oads of 1M bit/sec or greater over traditional copper links.
The problem, according to securities analysts, is that the FCC proposal comes with so many strings attached that the RBOCs are unlik ely to establish subsidiaries to speed up their slow DSL deployments, even if the proposal becomes law. The FCC has promised a fina l ruling by February 1999.
"RBOCs did not gain any ground in the newly proposed rules," stated PaineWebber telecom analyst Eric Strumingher in a note after the proposal was issued.
"These proposed rules are one more piece of evidence that the RBOCs are getting the short end of the stick in the deregulation of th e telecommunications services industry," Strumingher added. "The Bells will be unable to sustain earnings growth and return on inves tment at the record levels they have enjoyed over the past two years."
In its proposal, the FCC states that RBOCs could not use the advanced network subsidiaries to offer long-distance transport of data services prior to the RBOCs gaining general long-distance authority. Two and a half years after enactment of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, no RBOC has yet gained regular long-distance approval.
The RBOCs had hoped to win this right because Section 706 of the act directs the FCC to scrap regulations if they hinder national br oadband network deployment.
The FCC proposal would end the requirement that RBOCs offer ports on their DSLAMs to competitors, but would still require them to of fer space in their central offices to DSL-based competitors.
Wall Street's verdict on the Section 706 proposal comes at a time when investors are also combing carefully through the stock and bo nd prospectuses of RBOC competitors seeking to specialize in DSL and other broadband technologies.
Since last May, offerings of high-yield bonds for competitive local exchange carriers have "dried up," according to Mark Langner, te lecom research associate for Hambrecht & Quist, a San Francisco investment house specializing in IT companies.
A least one of the five FCC commissioners said he was voting in favor of the proposal because he thought it would make RBOCs and oth er local carriers happy and eager to invest in broadband networks.
Republican Commissioner Michael Powell says there had been an "unfortunate tendency" at the FCC to pass rules that "depend upon a co mpany or an industry acting against its self-interest." Powell says he hopes the new proposal will spur RBOCs to accelerate their br oadband offerings because doing so will offer some deregulation of data services.
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