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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Bull RidaH who wrote (24888)8/22/1998 11:40:00 AM
From: Vitas  Read Replies (3) of 94695
 
Hi David,

As you are probably aware, every bear and their grandmother is
counting the 55 calendar days from the July 17th peak and looking
for the big crash, or a crash, or whatever. Although this possibility
should not be dismissed, and we should tread lightly during this time frame, I can't see any instance in the past where the second
shoulder peak topped when the summation was already bear market
oversold, at -2000. Usually the summation is at least zero and more
like a 1000 or more. Please see if you can spot any instances.

The thought occurs to me that Favors, a widely publicized and frequent CNBC commentator, may turn out to be the Granville of the
early 80's. Favors' stops have been "fished" and reversed quite a number of times since April.

Vitas
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