SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : DELL Bear Thread
DELL 133.78-0.1%Nov 14 9:30 AM EST
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: lin luo who wrote (1616)8/23/1998 1:59:00 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) of 2578
 
Do you still remember your NSM?

I made money on NSM going up from 11 to 14 and selling in the 13-14 range. Now it's back at 11. I can't see what your problem is there.

In each previous boom cycle this year Dell peaks first, falls a little and then begins the big ascent. This time it coincides with post-options and general worldwide market weakness. I suspect that in the worst case scenario I will only lose a few dollars a share.

However, my TA method you scorn indicates that this peak we are passing through is stronger than those previous initial boom cycles. i.e. this is much more of a global maximum and less of a local maximum.

So yes I will be following any moves in the DELL very closely.

Made a nice profit on Peapod in the last week as well.

The time series model I have in mind for the stock-market is somewhat similar to that for global temperature series which I use in a paper that I am revising currently. We have succeeded in detecting a signal of carbon dioxide in global temperature using time domain methods. This is something that climatologists believe is impossible and hasn't been done before (some people have used frequency domain methods).

The TA method I am using is a rough and dirty statistic/ indicator. I could estimate a more sophisticated model but I don't want to run my econometrics program through the data every day. If I was a fulltime professional manager I might. This method works on a spreadsheet.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News