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Gold/Mining/Energy : Trico Marine Services (TMAR)
TMAR 22.420.0%9:47 AM EST

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To: JZGalt who wrote (732)8/25/1998 10:55:00 AM
From: D.J.Smyth   of 1153
 
spoke with global marine and cliffs this am regarding their short term jack ups in the gulf. the ratio continues to be 1/3 deep water to 2/3 shallow water with rates ranging from $145,000 a day to $25,000 a day, average shallow water rate is around $45,000 a day which is a drop of 20% from January. contracts on their rigs continue to be renewed even with $12 oil with utilization at around 85%. most short term contracts go out to January on average which should be a stabilizing factor for the boats. you'd have to assume oil staying at $12 for nearly all of 1999 to assume anything close to $1.29 in earnings for TMAR for 1999 by my calculations. for this year, it's hard to imagine Jefferies estimates for the next two quarters given the current rig count/renewal situation.
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