Repap Sees Hedging Program Reaching Full Speed By Oct-Nov
By DAVID E. PARKINSON Dow Jones Newswires
VANCOUVER -- Repap Enterprises Inc. (RPAPF) expects its new pulp and paper hedging program to reach its full targeted volumes by October or November, Repap vice-president of finance Michelle Cormier said.
Cormier told Dow Jones the company intends to hedge 100% of its market pulp production and 5% of its paper production under the program, which it set up with Enron Capital & Trade Resources Corp. earlier this year. She said this amounts to about 70,000-80,000 metric tons of pulp, and about 22,000-23,000 short tons of paper.
Cormier said the paper segment of the program could reach its target within the next few weeks, but the pulp portion might take a bit longer. She said the company so far has hedged only 15% to 17% of its pulp production.
As reported, Repap agreed in April to enter a price-hedging program with Enron, one of the North American market leaders in over-the-counter hedging products for pulp and paper. The arrangement was part of a package of initiatives that included Enron's purchase of $45 million of Repap convertible subordinated debentures. Enron will also handle marketing, sales and customer service for Repap's pulp operations, and will advise Repap on energy activities over the next five years.
Cormier said it's too early to say whether the hedging program has been a success, but so far Repap is satisfied with the prices it's received through the program. However, she acknowledged that the company could have done better by moving more quickly on pulp hedging earlier this year, when forward selling prices were as much as $100 a ton above current list prices.
"In retrospect, we should have (hedged) it all," Cormier said. She noted that this had been Enron's recommendation.
Repap Enterprises Inc.'s (RPAPF) Michelle Cormier said the company determined its targeted exposure levels for the hedging program by looking at 12-month average prices over each of the past five years, then adapting them to current costs and rates of return. She said the hedging levels - 5% of paper and 100% of pulp - represent the percentages needed to cover shortfalls the company would expect to incur during low periods in the pricing cycle.
Cormier said Repap's hedging program was Enron's idea. She said Enron had talked to Repap about risk management in the past, and brought it up again earlier this year when the two companies got together to discuss a possible financing arrangement. As talks on the financing progressed, the hedging program became part and parcel with the deal, Cormier said.
"When we did the analysis, we realized that this (hedging) does make sense," Cormier said. "It bullet-proofs you against any downturns in the cycle."
Cormier predicted that more pulp and paper companies will enter hedging arrangements with the likes of Enron as the market for over-the-counter pulp and paper derivatives matures.
"I think you'll see more of this in the next few years, as people start to understand it," she said.
Enron, Houston, has been marketing OTC pulp and paper derivatives for about three years. In a recent interview with Dow Jones, officials at Enron noted that the market still lacks sufficient liquidity, especially in pulp, as large producers have been slow to fully embrace the benefits of risk management. They said deals such as the one with Repap, tying financing to hedging, could be a key source of new liquidity in the market.
"I think you've just seen the tip of the iceberg," said David Cox, Enron's vice-president of commodity and trade services. |