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Biotech / Medical : Zonagen (zona) - good buy?

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To: Linda Kaplan who wrote (5360)8/26/1998 5:33:00 PM
From: George Acton  Read Replies (1) of 7041
 
| I wonder when, or should I say, at what time, ZONA will drop
| through 17? Any thoughts on how long it can hang there?

I'm an idiot concerning any kind of market timing. I think that
in the real world, the FDA could send them a letter saying that
Vasomax doesn't qualify for serious review, and that could come
in a few weeks to a few months. Obviously, the effect on the
share price would not be favorable. If the FDA sends it to
a review panel it could take months for a definitive answer.
In that case, the company has enough cash to operate for a
long time and hopes for approval could keep the price up.
Other considerations such as the total size of the market,
patient satisfaction with Viagra and the success or failure
of other ED drugs would affect the prospects for Vasomax and
the price.

--George Acton
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