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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

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To: Investor-ex! who wrote (487)8/28/1998 9:39:00 AM
From: Robert Douglas  Read Replies (2) of 3536
 
Investor ex,

You wrote the following as clarification to your assertion that ALL currencies are about to decline:

Synchronized global inflation can cause ALL currencies to decline simultaneously, in real terms.

Would you explain your reasons behind this forecast for global inflation? In an earlier post you wrote:

ALL currencies, including the euro, will fall because they're backed with a mountain of debt and dependent upon faltering debt-laden economies increasingly unable to service that debt. Much of this debt will be repudiated, causing further damage to the bag holders.

Massive debt defaults generally result in deflation and not inflation as businesses fold and workers are laid off. Indeed many economists (not this one mind you) have been warning about possible deflation that will result from the Asian crisis. Are you predicting inflation and depression simultaneously? If so which is the causal force and what will be the factors precipitating this chain of events?

-Robert
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