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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash
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To: Stoctrash who wrote (3268)8/28/1998 11:10:00 AM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) of 5676
 
Greenspan must lower rates by the end of the year. The question, as my more Bearish friends will also tell you, is what good will it do in a deflationary environment? One need only look at Japanese interest rates. Will lowering interest rates stimulate demand and buying? In an environment like this, the first rate cut will produce a rally for a day or two. But then a major sell off! Why? Because investors get confirmation of their worst fears, that Deflation is near at hand, which precipitated the Bear to begin with. It's a very difficult cycle to break once it BEGINS! The key is to solve the problem where it originated: Japan. It's an Asian contagion. The U.S.A is not exempt. Why? Because ultimately, it's a Global economy.
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