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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth

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To: Tommaso who wrote (4720)8/29/1998 5:07:00 PM
From: Joseph G.  Read Replies (2) of 86076
 
T, it is natural and intrinsic for the suckers to call rational people "morons" and "idiots" - if they did not they would not be suckers. So don't despair. -g-

Dividends will be cut (from 1930 to 1933 Dow divs were cut by 2/3), DJIA E is likely to be negative, so P/E won't matter. It's too early to look for the bottom and try to predict ultimate numbers, a lot will depend on policy response (the less intervention and the less artificial propping of various markets the sooner it will end and with less pain). A true fundamental sign of the ultimate bottom will be when no more productive capacity investments would be planned by businesses for a year or so.
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