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Politics : Idea Of The Day

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To: Jerry Olson who wrote (19637)	8/30/1998 11:23:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF	Read Replies (2) of 50167

You have built your case on consumer confidence. Please look at this report-see the lofty levels for me it is a blessing in disguise to see the confidence inching slightly lower-- firstunion.com On employment look at these charts and you will find the deflation which is being dangled only exists in the minds of people, it is just not thier- firstunion.com Also keep an eye on this chart-NAPM firstunion.com You bet that deflation and recessions just don't appear out of blue, we will be looking at some interesting numbers on Monday and I assure you that the numbers for atleast next three months will not include any of this recent falls, imagine if bonds by next week realise that interest rate cut already built on short end was premature and it may be tightening before easing, do you realise what is going to happen to all these sky high bonds yields -- just with all due respect a contrary opinion from a opptunistic bull.I wish I could see what you are telling me in these charts I follow.. I would rather be wrong but would keep the same analysis procedure intact which has helped me guide thru much more rougher times, this is special we are not seeing snap back rallies and it here that onc needs full macro application, if basic data shows me problem I assure you that I will try my best to get out of this market, I only check my valuations on 6 monthly basis since June 30 I have not really looked into it but now that you have reminded me I will certainly look at it.

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