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Biotech / Medical : XOMA. Bull or Bear?
XOMA 32.31+1.4%Nov 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: Bluegreen who wrote (7126)9/2/1998 3:56:00 PM
From: aknahow  Read Replies (3) of 17367
 
Yes XOMA could stop the trial on its' own without a recommendation to do so by the DSMB. This would be considered a gamble because it is blinded to the data. It would be taking a chance, that what you and I believe is correct, is worth disrupting the on going trials and acting in the face of a DSMB recommendation to continue. The benefits which we both agree on probably do not outweigh simply completing the trial as agreed to if the DSMB recommends proceeding and states there are no safety concerns.

As you post, stopping the trial early when the DSMB recommends continuation would be a, "drastic measure." I do not think it would be good management to do it right, get this far and then resort to a drastic measure, or bet that they can save some money, get to market sooner and see the stock rally, by a unilateral decision to halt early.

Now why does MacCamant say they will? Perhaps he has contacted some of the trial sites and is getting information that enables him to feel the DSMB will recommend an early halt. I have no such information, but I do believe that those doing the treating probably recognize something which makes them think they know who was treated.
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