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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis

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To: IA who wrote (1746)9/7/1998 2:14:00 AM
From: chester lee  Read Replies (1) of 2506
 
Inder

re: AFCI

I've never heard of the company, but here is what I've found on a cursory look.

The chart broken in a severe way. Something happened in July that drove the stock down from $40 to $20 instantly, and the stock price has been falling since.
quote.yahoo.com

SI subject search show some speculation of a bottom for AFCI, but no consensus. The chart certainly doesn't show a bottom.
techstocks.com

I read a few of the messages and come to the conclusion that AFCI has few contracts, and seems to be the recipient of a a few class action lawsuit alledging fraud against shareholders.

One last thing to look at would be the fundamentals. They appear to have $3.43 in book and 100mm in cash. Their trailing PE is at 10. the fundamentals look OK to me, but keep in mind they are trailing numbers.
biz.yahoo.com

FWIW, I don't think the market's down draft is over yet, so if you are short, there is probably a few percentage points to be gained. If you are bottom fishing, don't jump in too soon, and only if you can wait it out.

chester
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