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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash
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To: yard_man who wrote (3468)9/8/1998 2:55:00 PM
From: gregor  Read Replies (2) of 5676
 
Barry :;

Topic--good dividends hard to come by.

I ran a few stock screens on over 9000 companies.

I stipulated pe less than 10, Div greater than 5 %, less 25 % debt to equity, and less than three times sales, very reasonable requirements IMO: came up with 27 companies.

I left everything the same and expanded the pe's to less than 20 and came up with 49 companies.

There is no way this market is a screaming buy at these levels. IMO the only thing that will bring about a solid bottom is for some of the larger big caps to get into a competitive dividend return with T-bonds.

I then lowered the dividend yield to 4 % and got 72 companies and then 3 % and got 134 companies.

My summation is that there is not an underpinning of yield to this market that will support it in any way once it begins a free fall.

gregor
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