Anil:
You make some very good points.
Btw, check out the following article :
india-today.com
Also keep in mind that they are still not telling how much of the $4.2 billion is "new" money. If a substantial part of the total amount is "old" money (from other NR accounts paying lower interest), then all that India has done is to replace a lower interest loan with a higher interest loan! Not a very smart thing at all...
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From the NRIs' point of view too, it was a golden opportunity. Without ploughing in much of their own money, they could make an easy 0.75 per cent gain by simply borrowing from the foreign banks and investing in the ribs.
[...]
But there are some who differ. They believe the Government could have worked on cheaper options. Apart from the higher interest rate burden (rib rates are about 1.5 per cent more than existing NRI scheme rates), the exchange rate cover will also cost a packet.
According to an estimate, if the rupee was to lose a mere 5 per cent of its value against the dollar every year over the next five years, every $1 billion (Rs 4,350 crore) inflow would cost the exchequer about Rs 400 crore.
[...]
Another question being raised is how much of the total inflow is new money. The argument is that a substantial part of the $3.5 billion expected to come in could be black money being converted to white or being transferred from existing NRI schemes. An upbeat Government, however, dismisses such contentions. "It's money in your foreign exchange kitty and it gives a great feeling of comfort," says Mohan Guruswamy, adviser to the finance minister.
[...]
Everything will now depend on how the funds are utilised. What the SBI will do with the money is not clear yet. Though there is mention of a substantial investment in infrastructure, the projects are yet to be identified. Unless the Government gets cracking on high-return yielding options, the celebration may be shortlived.
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Dipy. |