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Politics : Bill Clinton Scandal - SANITY CHECK
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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (1927)9/8/1998 11:18:00 PM
From: Zoltan!  Read Replies (1) of 67261
 
>>His personal approval ratings have declined,
true but job approval is the important one right?


In a radio interview the pollsters said that the "job approval" figure is meaningless, since it just scores the economy. The personal ratings are what count and Slick's are below Nixon's. Broder looks at the issue you ask about and finds only 25% are real Clinton supporters.

Their Aug. 23-25 telephone survey found that while Clinton's job
approval score has remained relatively steady since their last poll, taken a
week before the Lewinsky story broke last January, he has suffered a
19-point drop in the share of voters approving of him personally. The
latter measure is now 26 percent approval and 62 percent disapproval.

Goeas described the electorate this way: "Only 25 percent approve of
both the job Clinton is doing as president and approve of him personally.
Another 30 percent approve of the job he is doing but do not approve of
him personally. A solid 39 percent disapprove of both the job the
president is doing and disapprove of him personally."

The propensity to vote, as best it can be measured, is heaviest among
those who fault Clinton on both counts, moderate among those who give
him mixed grades and weakest among those who approve of both his job
and his personal character.

"In political terms, this translates into a very strong indication that
Democratic turnout will be heavily suppressed in November," Goeas said,
"while the Republican base will continue to be more energized, especially
in key swing districts."
washingtonpost.com
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