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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 127.15+0.4%Jan 15 4:00 PM EST

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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (18222)9/9/1998 1:33:00 PM
From: CIMA  Read Replies (1) of 116857
 
JAPAN DOWNGRADES ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT

The government downgraded its assessment of the economy Tuesday, and the
head of the country's chief economic agency warned JAPAN STANDS AT THE
BRINK OF A DANGEROUS DEFLATIONARY SPIRAL..

Taichi Sakaiya, director-general of Japan's Economic Planning Agency, said
that while the economy has not yet fallen into a deflationary spiral in
which prices sink lower and lower, "we are at the entrance of one". "We
must take actions to prevent the economy from being sucked in," he said.

Sakaiya's remarks followed the release of the Economic Planning Agency's
latest monthly report on the economy, which used the term "very severe" to
describe the current situation - stronger language than the agency had used
in the past.

The report cites a deterioration in key areas of the economy, noting
sluggish housing starts and rising unemployment. Sakaiya said the Japanese
economy could enter an "extremely dangerous" phase should the economic
situation outside of Japan continue to worsen. He added, however, that
Japan's hefty trade surplus and government stimulus spending will likely
offset the negative impact of the global economy's woes.

Japan entered a recession in the first quarter of this year, but the
government has been reluctant to acknowledge the economy has veered off the
path to recovery until recently.

END
________________________________________________________________

In conclusion, the threat of deflation is very real in the world's second
largest economy, which makes it a threat to the Asian region and the rest
of the world. This kind of information can not be ignored by investors and
must be factored into the investment making equation. Yesterday's global
market rally was a clear over reaction to Alan Greenspan's comments
regarding the possibility of lower interest rates, as well as, the
post-labour day attempt by investors to forget the real economic problems
plaguing the globe.

The fact is, global economic conditions have not changed and, as these
comments from the Japanese evidence, they may be getting worse if not dealt
with appropriately.

That is all for now.

Have a great day.

Regards,
Agora.

The Investor's Investor. Published by Agora International Enterprises Corp.

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