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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 226.19-1.8%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (16972)9/12/1998 9:05:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
From The Planet All 8K:

"As a result of the Company's limited operating history and the emerging nature of the markets in which it competes, the Company is unable to accurately forecast its revenues. The Company's current and future expense levels are based largely on its investment plans and estimates of future revenues and are to a large extent fixed. Sales and operating results generally depend on the volume of, timing of and ability to fulfill orders received, which are difficult to forecast. The Company may be unable to adjust spending in a timely manner to compensate for any unexpected revenue shortfall. Accordingly, any significant shortfall in revenues

in relation to the Company's planned expenditures would have an immediate adverse effect on the Company's business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. Further, as a strategic response to changes in the competitive environment, the Company may from time to time make certain pricing, service, marketing or acquisition decisions that could have a material adverse effect on its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. For example, the Company has agreed in certain of its promotional arrangements with Internet aggregators to make significant fixed payments. There can be no assurance that these arrangements will generate adequate revenues to cover the associated expenditures and any significant shortfall would have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition and results of operations.

The Company expects to experience significant fluctuations in its future quarterly operating results due to a variety of factors, many of which are outside the Company's control. Factors that may adversely affect the Company's quarterly operating results include (i) the Company's ability to retain existing customers, attract new customers at a steady rate and maintain customer satisfaction, (ii) the Company's ability to acquire product, to maintain appropriate inventory levels and to manage fulfillment operations, (iii) the Company's ability to maintain gross margins in its existing business and in future product lines and markets, (iv) the development, announcement or introduction of new sites, services and products by the Company and its competitors, (v) price competition or higher wholesale prices in the industry, (vi) the level of use of the Internet and online services and increasing consumer acceptance of the Internet and other online services for the purchase of consumer products such as those offered by the Company, (vii) the Company's ability to upgrade and develop its systems and infrastructure and attract new personnel in a timely and effective manner, (viii) the level of traffic on the Company's Web site, (ix) technical difficulties, system downtime or Internet brownouts, (x) the amount and timing of operating costs and capital expenditures relating to expansion of the Company's business, operations and infrastructure, (xi) the number of popular books introduced during the period, (xii) the level of merchandise returns experienced by the Company, (xiii) governmental regulation and taxation policies, (xiv) disruptions in service by common carriers due to strikes or otherwise and (iv) general economic conditions and economic conditions specific to the Internet, online commerce and the book industry.

The Company expects that it will experience seasonality in its business, reflecting a combination of seasonal fluctuations in Internet usage and traditional retail seasonality patterns. Internet usage and the rate of Internet growth may be expected to decline during the summer. Further, sales in the traditional retail book industry are significantly higher in the fourth calendar quarter of each year than in the preceding three quarters.

Due to the foregoing factors, in one or more future quarters the Company's operating results may fall below the expectations of securities analysts and investors. In such event, the trading price of the common stock would likely be materially adversely affected.

The Company has recorded aggregate deferred compensation of approximately $3.3 million. The amount recorded represents the difference between the grant price and the deemed fair value of the Company's common stock for shares subject to options granted in 1997 and 1996. Deferred compensation is amortized over the vesting period of the options, which is typically five years. Amortization for the year ended December 31, 1997 was $1.4 million. No amortization expense was recognized in 1996. "

Glenn
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