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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.

DELL 119.41

-2.7%

Nov 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: D.J.Smyth who wrote (65416)	9/14/1998 11:59:00 AM
From: Chuzzlewit	Read Replies (3) of 176387

Darrell, the point behind my posts was to calculate the maximum period of hypergrowth possible. I also used it to point out to overly exuberant people that Dell cannot continue indefinitely at its current growth rate unless the growth of the overall computer market increases substantially. Realistically, I see perhaps four more years of hypergrowth. If Dell's current market share is around 8% and unit sales are growing at 45% per year, then at the end of four years it will have around 20% of the total market if that market grows at an average annual rate of 15%. As I indicated in previous posts, this calculation underscores the reason for looking for new products. TTFN, CTC

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