Hi Gary; Nope, 30 shares. It is time for this week's EE-Times links to articles interesting to DELL investors, and PC technology geeks in general.
A lot of the DELL longs believed that computers are naturally expensive items, and that prices are close to bottoming out. My statement is that the next integration wave takes computers to incredibly cheap prices. We have now seen clones commonly available for $400. I predict (once again) that the prices for clones will drop to the $100 to $150 range, without monitor and printer.
The first step to getting that cheap is to get most of it on one chip. The technology to do this is called "System on a Chip", here is a link noting that this is the subject of the big Wescon '98 show. If you don't know what system on a chip means, or what effects it will have on computer prices, and you care what price DELL sells for 5 years from now, I suggest you find out now. You really can't expect the analysts at GSCO to be lazy about where technology is going.
System-on-chip concerns will dominate Wescon '98 Beneath the dizzying variety of product offerings, the overriding theme of this year's show is system-on-a-chip technology. A designated system-chip exhibit area will showcase semiconductor and EDA technologies tailored for this emerging discipline, as well as a technology pavilion where engineers can see continuous demonstrations of many end-user applications involving component-level products exhibited on the show floor. techweb.com
The first effect of system on a chip is to allow incredibly small portable machines. These are expensive, not because of high costs of manufacturing, but because the manufacturer charges what the traffic will bear. When competition kicks in, the price will drop down to close to the cost of goods, just as this has happened in every non-monopolistic technology advance we have seen. But the first step is to allow extremely small computers. Here is IBM's new system:
Windows 98 on a 266MHz machine with virtual reality interface: IBM Japan stuffs PC into headphones Makuhari, Japan - IBM Japan Corp. has put a portable personal computer into a stereo-headphone-sized housing. The company will demonstrate the mobile PC at its corporate show here this week.
Pretty cool machine, no? We had one at Virtual i/O that was the size of a cellular phone. It was a '486, and included a folding keyboard and battery. It displayed on the virtual reality goggles the company made. The prototypes ran beautifully, but it was never put into production due to the short time before the batteries ran out. One of the cool things about system on a chip is that it uses a lot less power. Another difference between our system and the new IBM system is that theirs uses a more modern processor.
-- Carl
P.S. I'm just experimenting with shorting DELL. I am sure that there is some ISLDer out there who is all pissed at me for giving him a partial fill on only 30 shares of DELL. He probably wanted 1000 of em. The worst fills are when you only get one share... |