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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 268.780.0%3:32 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (24341)9/16/1998 2:32:00 PM
From: Paul V.  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
Gottfried and threaders, Following are the Bull Percentages as sorted,
first, according to the sector, market and leading indicators and,
then, according to their numerical ranking. Note that I have posted
only the last 4 weeks of data rather than going back to February 17,
1998. Those who wish to go further back can go to my portfolio and
retrive my earlier post prior to this week.

NOTE: The NYSE, OTC, 10WEEK, 30 WEEK, OPTIONS, SEMI'S, have all
reversed up. The SOX has also reversed up with a DW double top at 215
from its low of 195. The only leading indicator which has not
reversed is the high/lows which is currently at 4.60.

Does this mean that we are beginning a new bull market? Just compare
with the previous years of 1974, 1987, 1990 after we had a bear
market. During those years the above indicators went to the 65% plus
DW percentages from the lows.

What are your observations and opinions after an analysis?

Naturally, the above is only my opinions and the data which I have
reviewed from the Dorsey Wright site. Readers are reminded the old
saving, "caveat emptor (buyer/reader beware)."

Paul V.

SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent
8/25/98 9/1/98 9/8/98 9/15/98
10week 20.35 10week 8.25 10week 13.57 10week 19.42
30week 21.8 30week 11.53 30week 14.37 30week 21
bpaero 17.4 bpaero 4.3 bpaero 3.3 bpaero 17.6
bpauto 27.4 bpasia 2.2 bpasia 8.9 bpasia 8.9
bpbank 25.3 bpauto 17 bpauto 15 bpauto 17.8
bpbiom 18 bpbank 11.7 bpbank 14.9 bpbank 19.9
bpbuil 34.3 bpbiom 7.3 bpbiom 13.3 bpbiom 21.2
bpbusi 26.5 bpbuil 14.8 bpbuil 14.2 bpbuil 17
bpchem 23.5 bpbusi 9.5 bpbusi 12.7 bpbusi 14.5
bpcomp 27 bpchem 10.4 bpchem 9.6 bpchem 12.2
bpdrug 30.4 bpcomp 8 bpcomp 15 bpcomp 19.6
bpelec 19.3 bpdrug 7.5 bpdrug 17.7 bpdrug 25.7
bpeuti 70.6 bpelec 5.9 bpelec 9 bpelec 12.1
bpfina 29.5 bpeuro 29.6 bpeuro 37 bpeuro 37
bpfood 33.2 bpeuti 69 bpeuti 65.9 bpeuti 67.1
bpfore 16.7 bpfina 12.6 bpfina 14 bpfina 27
bpgame 29.1 bpfood 21.1 bpfood 22.6 bpfood 24.6
bpguti 36 bpfore 11.1 bpfore 13 bpfore 12.7
bpheal 22.1 bpgame 16.4 bpgame 16.4 bpgame 16.4
bphous 26.9 bpguti 32 bpguti 30.7 bpguti 32
bpinsu 37.9 bpheal 11.8 bpheal 17.1 bpheal 20.4
bpintl na bphous 14.3 bphous 16.8 bphous 20.3
bplati 6.7 bpinsu 21.3 bpinsu 22.9 bpinsu 29.1
bpleis 20.9 bpintl na bpintl na bpintl na
bpmach 25 bplati 1.9 bplati 3.8 bplati 11.3
bpmedi 40 bpleis 9.8 bpleis 10.3 bpleis 11.2
bpmeta 17.9 bpmach 16.5 bpmach 18 bpmach 17.6
bpnyse 28.1 bpmedi 22.8 bpmedi 24.4 bpmedi 22.8
bpoil 11.6 bpmeta 5.1 bpmeta 7.7 bpmeta 6.4
bpoils 9.3 bpnyse 14.7 bpnyse 17.2 bpnyse 22
bpopti 26.74 bpoil 7.1 bpoil 8.8 bpoil 18
bpotc 25.4 bpoils 6.5 bpoils 15.9 bpoils 29.9
bpprec 6.84 bpopti 8.67 bpopti 16.24 bpopti 24.72
bpreal 30.2 bpotc 9.46 bpotc 16.2 bpotc 20.7
bprest 22.5 bpprec 3.4 bpprec 12.1 bpprec 19
bpreta 33 bpreal 23 bpreal 21 bpreal 18.9
bpsavi 27.2 bprest 12.7 bprest 12.9 bprest 14
bpsemi 17.8 bpreta 16.7 bpreta 19.8 bpreta 23.5
bpsoft 24.6 bpsavi 15.5 bpsavi 18.1 bpsavi 20.7
bpstee 15.3 bpsemi 4.7 bpsemi 13.2 bpsemi 15
bptele 24.6 bpsoft 9.7 bpsoft 16.4 bpsoft 21.2
bptext 25 bpstee 5.6 bpstee 7 bpstee 7
bptrans 20.6 bptele 9.7 bptele 16.3 bptele 19
bpwall 31 bptext 14.3 bptext 12.5 bptext 13.4
bpwast 25.6 bptrans 10.6 bptrans 14.9 bptrans 16
HiLo 11.8 bpwall 19 bpwall 20.7 bpwall 27.6
bpwast 20.2 bpwast 19.3 bpwast 22.7
HiLo 9 HiLo 5.3 HiLo 4.64

NUMERICAL ORDER

SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent
8/25/98 9/1/98 9/8/98 9/15/98
bpeuti 70.6 bpeuti 69 bpeuti 65.9 bpeuti 67.1
bpmedi 40 bpguti 32 bpeuro 37 bpeuro 37
bpinsu 37.9 bpeuro 29.6 bpguti 30.7 bpguti 32
bpguti 36 bpreal 23 bpmedi 24.4 bpoils 29.9
bpbuil 34.3 bpmedi 22.8 bpinsu 22.9 bpinsu 29.1
bpfood 33.2 bpinsu 21.3 bpfood 22.6 bpwall 27.6
bpreta 33 bpfood 21.1 bpreal 21 bpfina 27
bpwall 31 bpwast 20.2 bpwall 20.7 bpdrug 25.7
bpdrug 30.4 bpwall 19 bpreta 19.8 bpopti 24.72
bpreal 30.2 bpauto 17 bpwast 19.3 bpfood 24.6
bpfina 29.5 bpreta 16.7 bpsavi 18.1 bpreta 23.5
bpgame 29.1 bpmach 16.5 bpmach 18 bpmedi 22.8
bpnyse 28.1 bpgame 16.4 bpdrug 17.7 bpwast 22.7
bpauto 27.4 bpsavi 15.5 bpnyse 17.2 bpnyse 22
bpsavi 27.2 bpbuil 14.8 bpheal 17.1 bpsoft 21.2
bpcomp 27 bpnyse 14.7 bphous 16.8 bpbiom 21.2
bphous 26.9 bptext 14.3 bpsoft 16.4 30week 21
bpopti 26.74 bphous 14.3 bpgame 16.4 bpsavi 20.7
bpbusi 26.5 bprest 12.7 bptele 16.3 bpotc 20.7
bpwast 25.6 bpfina 12.6 bpopti 16.24 bpheal 20.4
bpotc 25.4 bpheal 11.8 bpotc 16.2 bphous 20.3
bpbank 25.3 bpbank 11.7 bpoils 15.9 bpbank 19.9
bptext 25 30week 11.53 bpcomp 15 bpcomp 19.6
bpmach 25 bpfore 11.1 bpauto 15 10week 19.42
bptele 24.6 bptrans 10.6 bptrans 14.9 bptele 19
bpsoft 24.6 bpchem 10.4 bpbank 14.9 bpprec 19
bpchem 23.5 bpleis 9.8 30week 14.37 bpreal 18.9
bprest 22.5 bptele 9.7 bpbuil 14.2 bpoil 18
bpheal 22.1 bpsoft 9.7 bpfina 14 bpauto 17.8
30week 21.8 bpbusi 9.5 10week 13.57 bpmach 17.6
bpleis 20.9 bpotc 9.46 bpbiom 13.3 bpaero 17.6
bptrans 20.6 HiLo 9 bpsemi 13.2 bpbuil 17
10week 20.35 bpopti 8.67 bpfore 13 bpgame 16.4
bpelec 19.3 10week 8.25 bprest 12.9 bptrans 16
bpbiom 18 bpcomp 8 bpbusi 12.7 bpsemi 15
bpmeta 17.9 bpdrug 7.5 bptext 12.5 bpbusi 14.5
bpsemi 17.8 bpbiom 7.3 bpprec 12.1 bprest 14
bpaero 17.4 bpoil 7.1 bpleis 10.3 bptext 13.4
bpfore 16.7 bpoils 6.5 bpchem 9.6 bpfore 12.7
bpstee 15.3 bpelec 5.9 bpelec 9 bpchem 12.2
HiLo 11.8 bpstee 5.6 bpasia 8.9 bpelec 12.1
bpoil 11.6 bpmeta 5.1 bpoil 8.8 bplati 11.3
bpoils 9.3 bpsemi 4.7 bpmeta 7.7 bpleis 11.2
bpprec 6.84 bpaero 4.3 bpstee 7 bpasia 8.9
bplati 6.7 bpprec 3.4 HiLo 5.3 bpstee 7
bpintl na bpasia 2.2 bplati 3.8 bpmeta 6.4
bplati 1.9 bpaero 3.3 HiLo 4.64
bpintl na bpintl na bpintl na
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