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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: fedhead who wrote (13805)9/16/1998 8:45:00 PM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 
>> What was interest rate environment like preceding the 1929, 1987
crash? <<

For 1929 crash see this. The Fed was supposedly afraid of an asset bubble so they tightened.
#reply-5768542

As for 1987, Greenspan came in and hiked the discount rate 50 basis points to 6%. The argument was that the dollar was falling and foreigners were pulling their money out of the U.S. Greenspan needed to hike rates to attract money to the U.S. so we could finance the skyrocketing deficit.

It may take rising interest rates here in the US to burst this bubble, but I can see plenty of scenarios to make that happen. Of course everyone in the civilized world thinks it's a given that US rates are going lower so they couldn't POSSIBLY rise.

Nahh, couldn't happen. Just like the stock market couldn't POSSIBLY go down. Wouldn't be prudent!
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