Hi teevee,
First, we need to increase that 180 feet to over 200 feet of pay.
Second, the way this thing drilled, it ain't tight!!
Third, I can't speculate on what will be perforated. (Of course, I would if I had the logs!)
Yes, for sure they will have to stimulate this well. This thing is going to be damaged. While stimulation may not be required to establish gas flow, it certainly will be required to return the wellbore to a "cleaned up state" and produce the well at "reasonable" rates.
I believe (but do not remember with certainty) that the Hartel well was stimulated.
Do you think that testing could go on for awhile...
I will be surprised if "flow" testing lasts more than 2 weeks. They will be limited in the amount of gas that they can produce by their EUB flare permit (I'll guess 50 MMCF). If they wish to maximize their understanding of the reservoir, they'll produce the well at a single rate which is just great enough to "lift" any associated liquids from 12,000 feet. While I haven't calculated that rate, my guess is about 3 MMCF/D. [Of course, they won't be able to resist cranking it open at least for a little while, so we'll likely get to see something in the order of 25-40 MMCF/d, too. They will have to do that either as part of their cleanup flow, or part of a 4 point test, or else very early in the single point test (else they'll make it more difficult to analyze their transient pressure response!!).]
...and it might be month's before we see hard results, as in other foothills wells?
It will not be months before I see hard results. I'll be seeing them when they open the master valve and choke! I have no opinion as to when others may "see hard results".
I like your guess of 15mmcfd, but I am hoping for significantly more.
I'm hoping for more too, teevee. The "expected capability" is actually rumored to be 40 MMCF/d, but I did not want to once again be accused of hyping !! Of course, much will depend upon the success of the "clean up" stimulation job. And, we can not discount the probabile need for a second acid stimulation before the well is actually placed on stream. (i.e. Just like the Esso well and just like the Strachan 3-22 well of Apache et al)
Later,
grayhairs |
