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Strategies & Market Trends : today's chart

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To: Claud B who wrote (1008)9/19/1998 2:54:00 PM
From: Terrence Von Holidae  Read Replies (1) of 1267
 
Claud:

A reduction in the in the Federal funds rate will take place. It will also have the perverse effect of pushing longer-term interest rates higher.
This will occur as a result of foreign long- bond securities selling as the dollar's attractiveness declines.

The dollar and its fungible agencies become less valuable as the interest rate is reduced by the Federal Reserve. International exposure to the dollar is estimated conservatively at $650 billion. Total international exposure to the dollar and its derivatives, however, is higher by perhaps an order of magnitude.

The DJIA is set to begin its third-leg move. It would not be inconsistent for the DJIA to decline below 5,250. Third moves often advance to about 125% of the aggregate initial two steps.

The time- horizon for such an occurrence cannot be established without influencing it's outcome. However, such a move can begin anytime here forward.

Yours, T.V.H.
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