Fortune. Telebras Pieces Fetch High Prices [$154 Merrill target]
pathfinder.com
Update
Edward A. Robinson
The Brazilian government was the big winner when Telebras, the country's telephone company, was privatized and split into 12 new companies at the end of July. Bidders like MCI and Spain's Telefonica paid $19 billion for the "Baby Bras"--an enormous 64% premium over the government's asking price. "It was a tremendous success," says William Beavington, an analyst with Paribas. (The Telebras ADR, TBR, which trades on the NYSE, will be retired after the Baby Bras' own ADRs are listed this month.)
Yet, given the recent whipsawing in the world's equity markets, investors appear to be in for some uneasy moments before they reap returns from the split. TBR rose $11, to close at $124 the day after the auction. But in the wake of the recent selloff on Wall Street, it plummeted to $96 as fortune went to press. "All the Latin telcos are getting beat up," says Ray Liguori, an analyst at Merrill Lynch. He expects the aggregate stock price of the Telebras pieces to rise to $154 in 12 months.
Still, analysts remain bullish in the long term because of tremendous pent-up demand for phone service. Spain's Telefonica, which snatched up the most promising piece, Telesp Participacoes, the local phone company in Sao Paulo, stands to profit most. It already owns a string of telcos in Chile and Argentina. And in conjunction with foreign partners, it's expected to offer voice and data-service bundles to multinational business customers.
Issue date: September 7, 1998 |