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Biotech / Medical : Zonagen (zona) - good buy?

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To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (5687)9/24/1998 2:52:00 PM
From: Linda Kaplan  Read Replies (1) of 7041
 
Hank: I should think there's naturally a blip upward expected on the payment of $5 million, but after this I'd expect it to be downhill again. There shouldn't be news from the FDA for 10 months and there's a fair chance the FDA will disapprove the drug. If some of the longs are starting to say they expect lower Mexico sales, I figure they already know the sales in Mexico have lessened. I would expect after this that the stock will slowly erode in value. Then, if the drug is not approved by the FDA, it should really take a big fall. And if it is approved and sales are dismal, as they rightfully should be, since the drug purportedly doesn't work, it would go up after approval and then down and down and down. Either way, there shouldn't be much to keep the price up after this.

Linda
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