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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Wright Sullivan who wrote (5048)9/24/1998 11:49:00 PM
From: James Clarke  Read Replies (4) of 78476
 
I agree with you on JOE. The value is just as much there as when I first bought. One big thing is different though. The stock is in the down cycle, not the up cycle. Not the business, the stock. When I bought it it was moving from undiscovered to discovered to loved. Now were are in the loved to disappointing to ignored cycle. It may take a while to get moving again. I could be wrong, but this is a different game. I am not saying don't buy it, but I am saying that the case is most definitely not the same as when I first bought it in late 1996, because then it had a huge catalyst to realize the value. When the catalyst fully fired, I sold. Now there are at least several REITs out there with a similar discount to NAV, zero catalyst, but they have a 10% dividend. I continue to follow the stock closely, and when a catalyst forms, I'll be back.

JJC
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