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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 220.34

-6.3%

3:55 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (24603)	9/24/1998 11:52:00 PM
From: Paul V.	Read Replies (2) of 70976

Gottfried and All, Following is the BTB Data from 1991 through the latest post by SEMI for August '98. The data has been rounded and includes the average, and high and low standard deviation for each month in addition to yearly averages, with highs and lows standard deviation for the years. This should be used with Gottfried's charts: price and BTB. Note, that the BTB is lower than the lowest standard deviation for any month which is 0.75. August appears to have the lowest figures overall. Any other analysis to the data that Gottfried and others have posted. Have we reached the lows at a BTB at 60? Is this the reason that AMAT is now holding up? Big Bucks, what are your thoughts regarding AMAT's current pricing and the data? Naturally, the above is only my opinions and the data which I have reviewed from the SEMI site. Readers are reminded the old saving, "caveat emptor (buyer/reader beware)." Paul V. YEARS AVG. MTHLY MTHLY MTHLY MONTH 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 '91-98 STDV HI-DV LO-DV JAN 1.23 1.09 1.12 1.17 1.32 1.28 1.08 0.94 1.15 0.12 1.28 1.03 FEB 1.12 1.20 1.15 1.13 1.41 1.36 1.07 0.90 1.17 0.16 1.33 1.01 MARCH 0.91 1.13 1.12 1.07 1.30 1.15 1.15 0.82 1.08 0.15 1.23 0.93 APRIL 0.92 1.02 1.18 1.05 1.23 1.00 1.10 0.78 1.04 0.14 1.18 0.89 MAY 0.93 0.93 1.20 1.02 1.11 0.87 1.09 0.81 1.00 0.13 1.13 0.86 JUNE 0.96 0.90 1.22 1.16 1.18 0.87 1.07 0.74 1.01 0.17 1.18 0.84 JULY 0.93 0.92 1.19 1.20 1.08 0.76 1.12 0.66 0.98 0.20 1.18 0.78 AUG 0.92 0.94 1.14 1.21 1.05 0.71 1.10 0.60 0.96 0.21 1.17 0.75 SEPT 0.94 0.98 1.02 1.03 1.02 0.70 1.09 0.97 0.13 1.10 0.84 OCT 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.12 1.07 0.78 1.05 1.01 0.11 1.12 0.90 NOV 0.96 1.03 1.05 1.19 1.06 0.90 1.02 1.03 0.09 1.12 0.94 DEC 0.98 1.08 1.19 1.29 1.15 1.01 0.99 1.10 0.12 1.22 0.98 YR AG 0.98 1.02 1.13 1.14 1.17 0.95 1.08 0.78 1.04 0.14 1.19 0.90 Y SDV 0.096 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.22 0.04 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.07 0.09 Y H-D 1.08 1.11 1.20 1.22 1.29 1.17 1.12 0.90 1.11 0.18 1.25 0.98 Y L-D 0.89 0.93 1.07 1.05 1.04 0.73 1.03 0.67 0.97 0.11 1.12 0.81

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