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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era
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To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (808)9/26/1998 3:01:00 PM
From: Bruce  Read Replies (1) of 1722
 
Porcupine,

Thanx for your response! I am interested in company market share .... for a manufactured product such as a TV or computer it is typically measured by number of households. I am not sure how to define some markets tho, such as Internet Sector, maybe percentage advertising dollars available???? (any thoughts)

Anyway, as I was reading Harry Dents book "The Roaring 2000's" I noticed some of his graphs ... say rubber tires for example depict what he calls an S curve typical for a products successful entry into the marketplace. It clearly shows that once a product gains a 10% acceptance into the "market" then it tends to take off with a much steeper growth slope. From unrelated trivia of naturally occurring phenomenon, there is a Law of Coherence which states that if you can get approx 10% acceptance of a behavior that behavior will be accepted by 100% of the population involved.

For example, if you can get 10% of a metal bars molecules to become magnetized, then the entire bar becomes magnetized ..... a pacemaker actually works by stimulating only 10% of the hearts muscle cells to a particular rhythm and miraculously the rest of the cells mimic this rhythm .... if 10% of a band of monkeys learn a particular skill the entire monkey population instantly acquires the skill even those who have never seen it performed, etc.

So by now you know I am a wacko, but that aside, I would appreciate any helpful suggestions you might have on how to go about testing/refining this theory .....

Bruce
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