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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank

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To: tom pope who wrote (15654)9/26/1998 5:30:00 PM
From: Wallace Rivers  Read Replies (1) of 120523
 
Absolutely, Tom...prepays will continue to be a problem. However, IMO, if Fed Funds are lowered, the short end of the curve will drop more than the long end (the long end may even go up - inflation jitters), thus yielding more normalized spreads, and a yield curve which is much more beneficial to CMO's business.
CMO also bought treasuries at about 5.6% - 5.75% when it exited the IO debacle. That position is a portion of the hedge, per my understanding, and is doing well with the long bond approximately 50 bp lower. They have also initiated a "streamline refinance" program, where those who prepay can choose to continue to do business with CMO at a different (lower) interest rate. This is a simplistic explanation. How much that will offset prepays would be a wild guess.
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