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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Frodo Baxter who wrote (6753)	9/28/1998 1:35:00 PM
From: Paul Berliner	Read Replies (1) of 9980

Zeev, L.K., I'd never bet on what may or may not happen tomorrow, but I have my hunches.... Message 5830537 Note: Because the Fed Funds contract is already showing the partial pricing in of a .5% rate cut in addition to the fully-priced in .25% cut, we should all agree that if the Fed eases tomorrow, and by only .25%, the markets will surely have a moderate sell off due to disappointment by the .5% boosters. On the other hand, a .5% cut should send it up significantly, and lastly, no change in rates would obviously be a short term stake through the heart of this shaky market. A long strangle or ratio call spread on a couple of bellweather blue chips seems irressistable here.

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