RE: Here's how: They would play a game that was fairly even odds like blackjack or roulette, and placed a small bet. If they won, they keep the winnings, and make the same small bet again. If they lost, they would double the bet. They would keep doubling the bet until they won (these guys had suitcases full of money). The odds of them hitting a losing streak long enough to deplete their resources were quite small, and they basically cleaned out the house.
Now if you or I tried to use that same strategy, odds are that we wouldn't be able to come up with enough capital to double the bet in a matter of a few days (I've done the math)
Terry,
With all respect, you may have done the math, but may not have played the game.
First, if you do use a double up strategy, sooner or later you WILL get nailed.
Second, Casinos use house limits for bets at the tables. A high limit game of say 10 grand per bet would be great for a while if you were betting 100 buck chips and could double lose. But sooner or later you would hit your wittle head on the ceiling.
Bet 1-- 100 Bet 2-- 200 Bet 3-- 400 Bet 4-- 800 Bet 5-- 1600 Bet 6-- 3200 Bet 7-- 6400 Bet 8-- 10,000 (limit)
Can you lose 8 bets in a row? Can you lose 20 bets in a row?
I saw it happen once.
As applied to the stock market I'm not sure what the results would be since (one) you have the time factor. You are in control of the timing of your buys and sells, and (two) you have a historic upward bias in prices.
Regardless, I wish you good luck.
B. |