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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth
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To: IceShark who wrote (7194)9/29/1998 6:56:00 PM
From: Joseph G.  Read Replies (1) of 86076
 
<<that article on the FED's model on SP 500>>
This model is appropriate only for inflationary environment, it is not, I repeat NOT appropriate for near zero inflation and is way off base for a deflationary environment. It would give you Nikkei expected p/e = 120 now, whereas it is ~ 30 and going down. It would give DAX/CAC expected p/e - 35, whereas they are under 20 and going down ... It assumes risk = zero.
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