Fractures Appear in Indonesian Security Apparatus
On Tuesday, September 29, Indonesian army cavalry troops clashed with members of a police mobile brigade in Sungai Raya, West Kalimantan province, on the island of Borneo. Media reports are contradictory on what sparked the clash – either insults hurled at a soccer match or following a marching contest – but agree that this was the second confrontation between these units this year, the first being a brawl three months ago. It was, however, the first time the feud had involved armed combat. Eyewitnesses report that armored vehicles from the cavalry headquarters opened fire on buildings in the police compound, raking them and nearby vehicles with machinegun fire. Soldiers and police officers also reportedly clashed inside the barracks. Officially, there were nine people hospitalized and no fatalities, though witnesses report up to three dead in the battle. Military police are now reportedly in control of the situation, and the units involved have been confined to their barracks.
Indonesia's National Police are currently part of the Indonesian Armed Forces (ABRI), though there have been increasing calls since the resignation of President Suharto for the police to become an independent body. A decision on separating the organizations was scheduled for September 30.
The clash in Sungai Raya, though apparently the product of a long-running feud between the two units involved, takes on greater significance in the context of current instability in Indonesia. Indonesia's military are the primary unifying force in a nation made up of multiple islands, ethnic groups, and religious groups. The military has also been the prime mover in Indonesian politics. That an internal feud could be allowed to erupt in gunfire, even as the military is on heightened alert in the face of nearly continuous anti-government demonstrations, signals at least a breakdown in command and control and, in the extreme, the potential for a broader schism to form within the ABRI, with some elements possibly supporting the opposition.
There are other signs of less than complete unity in the ABRI. Several retired army officers, including Major General Theo Syafei and Major General R. K. Sembiring Meliala, have joined the Megawati Sukarnoputri faction of the opposition Indonesian Democratic Party (PDI). General Syafei was formerly an Udayana regional commander and is a former member of the military faction in Indonesia's House of Representatives, while General Sembring Meliala is also a former member of the House of Representatives. The two prominent generals said they opposed the government manipulation that fractured the PDI. It is unclear whether the retired general's moves reflect deeper fractures within the active military. If officers begin to take opposing sides in the country's political debate, it would immediately weaken the military as a unified tool of the state, and could even lead to armed clashes between opposing factions. If existing tension within the military can erupt in gunfights like that seen in Sungai Raya, the introduction of political factionalism could lead to civil war.
In a possibly related move, on September 29, Indonesian Armed Forces Commander and Defense Minister General Wiranto announced that the military was not opposed to a rally by Megawati's faction, scheduled for next month on the island of Bali. General Wiranto said the armed forces had no objection to the rally, as long as it did not threaten or disrupt the security of the tourist industry in Bali. Megawati's supporters had vowed to hold the rally with or without an official permit, despite threats from the National Police.
Also on September 29, General Wiranto announced to Indonesia's Parliament that the government was abandoning a proposed law that would have strictly controlled the size and scope of political demonstrations. Wiranto said the government would submit an alternative bill that would balance freedom of expression against the need for law and order. The retraction of the proposed bill comes less than a week after Indonesian President B. J. Habibie urged the armed forces to crack down on anti-government demonstrators. Habibie said, "I am instructing the whole ranks of ABRI to take preventive and proactive steps and actions, coupled with a wise but firm attitude, to immediately put a halt to these activities." He said the military should target "individuals or groups who are openly engineering things to make the situation uncontrollable, unsafe, and unstable."
General Wiranto has recently warned that security officials had uncovered patterns in recent disturbances that "resemble actions taken by the outlawed Indonesian Communist Party (PKI)." The failed 1965 palace coup that marked the rise of Suharto and the decline of Sukarno was attributed to the PKI, and the nationwide purge of alleged communists that followed resulted in the deaths of an estimated 500,000 to 1 million people and the presumed annihilation of the PKI. Particularly targeted in the purge was Indonesia's Chinese minority, which also fell victim to the riots in May of this year that helped topple Suharto. With apparent fractures surfacing in the military, an unclear military policy toward demonstrations, and talk of a threat from a resurgent PKI, Indonesia's Chinese minority cannot feel secure. Foreign companies operating in Indonesia should also be prepared for the worst, as we are seeing two competing trends developing -- either a divided military and civil war, or the launching of an aggressive, nationalistic campaign against a real or fabricated foe in an effort to force unity in the ranks.
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