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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (16045)9/29/1998 8:03:00 PM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (3) of 42787
 
Electric/BEEBS!! Favors posts tonight that he will be short on THURSDAY. He wants to give the M one more day to rally. Here is what he said:


Jerry Favors Analysis - Tuesday, September 29, 1998 8 p.m.

Last evening we discussed the fact that an easing of
interest rates by the Fed was likely and that if the Fed
eased it would suggast some further rally in the Dow. The
Fed decided to lower rates by a 1/4 of a point. However the
Fed easing did not spark a significant rally in the Dow. The
Dow closed down 27.04 points for the day. However it could be
a mistake to take today's action as definative as to how the
market will eventually respond to the new Fed Policy. In
terms of the stock market what appears to be most obviuos
reponse is not necesarily the most accurate. The most
important consideration on the market came from whether the
Fed decided to lower rates or not. The Fed did decide to
lower rates but not as much as the market had hoped. The Dow
was down as much as 93 points today but closed down only
28.32. As disappointed as the market may have been that the
cut in rates was not larger than it was the market did not
fall apart. Some further rise in stock prices is still
probable near near term because we do believe lower interest
rates are still probable . However just as lower interest
rates in Japan did not halt the Bear Market lower interest
rates here in the US will not prevent a Bear Market. The
question will be whether the lower rates here in the US can
prevent a serious market downturn. We do not believe so.
For now we will give the market one more day but by Thursday
we will want to begin shorting this market, rally or no rally.
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