Formerly About Applied Materials Message Board

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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 226.00

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1:42 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (24762)	9/30/1998 11:37:00 PM
From: Big Bucks	Read Replies (2) of 70976

GM, When evaluating stock charts and moving averages all the information is historical in nature. The "benefit" of studying the trend of the short term and long term moving averages is that once a short term indicator crosses over the long term indicator the market/stock tends to trend in the direction of the short term movement. Trend line or trend curve changes can be leading indicators of likely movements and can give some fairly accurate predictability of short term movement away from the mean line. Somehow,<g> I suspect that you have used graphs and charts showing hysteresis and response curves in your past engineering background to give you some predictability of performance relative to a mean performance expectation, no??<VBG> I use graphs and charts very frequently to analyze performance and to predict likely future responses to changes at my job they are usually extremely accurate as long as the information is accurate and well characterized. The only "difference" as I see it is that the markets have unforseen variables that confound or corrupt the response due to the psychologically motivated "human" element. For those who are interested in using historical data to see trends and changes in trends(Technical analysis) decisionpoint.com taguru.com taguru.com Just my opinion, BB

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