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Non-Tech : Doc Stone's Bierstube und Trading Room

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To: CuttotheCore who wrote (407)10/1/1998 9:08:00 PM
From: M. Frank Greiffenstein  Read Replies (1) of 638
 
The short money has been the good money...

All hell is breaking loose. The only shock is that pigs like YHOO and AMZN have not really broek down yet. I am still short AMZN because it is a pyramid scheme run by a former HEDGE FUND manager, jeff Bezos. Manipulators like Jeff Vinik have been keeping AMZN afloat with some sucker rallies, but I think AMZN will crash and burn very soon.

I sold off my DELL and GTW puts early last week, because the upward trend was not my friend. I re-entered GTW puts this morning when beleive it or not, GTW was actually up almost a point. That was Fidelity trying to defy gravity. I am already deep in the money with these puts. I also bought more AMAT puts. After the bell, AMAT announced that they will be tkaing yet another restructure charge becasue of problems in their Komatsu joint venture.

I also went long PAASF yesterday (Pan American Silver). Hell, I got it cheaper than Warren Buffet did last Spring. Silver supply is dwindling, India is buying silver, a lot of mines have closed. Transferred money into Fidelity Select Gold on Tuesday.

I am still holding TSQD and DRIV, but I am not adding anything. I am concentrating on puts.

Tomorrow we test the lows of 7400. Japan is setting new lows right now as we speak. I plan to sell half my AMZN Jan110 puts tomrrow if I can get a big gap down, I will hedge the remaining Jan100 puts with out of the money Nov calls. I am sure Vinik has a few tricks left up his sleeve. But I expect Jungalee Corp owners (errr, ex-owners) to sell their 3 million shares at 100, which of course means there will be 3 million more shares to short (I am asumming that not many people will put AMZN shares in their cash accounts at this price).

Later!

DocStone
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