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Non-Tech : Derivatives: Darth Vader's Revenge

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To: ahhaha who wrote (314)10/4/1998 2:08:00 AM
From: kahunabear  Read Replies (1) of 2794
 
Do you think we will have inflation even if the economy slows dramatically ? What about all of the excess capacity/production keeping prices down ?

I have been thinking of shorting bonds, but worry about severe deflation as business slows. Do you think we could end up with a Japan rate scenario ? I think the spread between low and high risk rates could continue to widen as lenders become scared to take any risk.

Could you explain the economic/fundamental factors you feel will lead to your "T-Bond off a cliff" scenario ?

Thanks,
WS
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