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Strategies & Market Trends : Floorless Preferred Stock/Debenture

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To: Ignite44 who wrote (87)10/4/1998 3:33:00 PM
From: Mama Bear  Read Replies (2) of 1438
 
thomas, sorry to take so long to get back to you.

"You assume that the investor would be able to find a substantial
amount of shares to short...this is a stock with almost no shares
available and most held in strong hands.
"

How do you know that? I have seen many stocks that were allegedly held by 'stong' hands dump. I'm not sure how these folks find their shares, but they do. Some suggest that they have arrangements with market makers and the shares are sold naked. Some suggest that it is done off shore, out of the purview of the SEC. Shorting naked would not be as risky as it seems, since the share creation to cover a short is guaranteed.

"from what I have learned that this is a typical method of financing for bio-techs without established revenue streams."

It is a typical method of financing by companies with relatively small chances of success. If success were guaranteed, or even well within a reasonable risk vs reward such terms would not be accepted.

" North American Vaccine NVX for example is raising 25M thru this method and their stock has not collapsed. "

NVX has gone from 30 to 10 in the last year. I'd call that collapsing.

I have noticed that when people get it into their heads that their particular small cap is the next MSFT, or perhaps AMGN in this case, they will excuse every sort of red flag that pops up. Don't get me wrong, I've made the mistake myself. I learned about the destructive nature of these types of deals by being involved with FIBR. My, that management talked a good game. They were at 24 or so when I first got involved with them in Nov 1996. I think they're trading around 3 or 3 1/2 now. The most recent floorless they put on was in May of '98. The long holders argued what a great thing it was because it was written by Credit Suisse First Boston. The stock was 10 or 11 back then.

Good luck, maybe IDBEF will be the first stock to use this type of financing and succeed of which I will be aware. But the odds are really stacked against it, assuming that the financing is in fact a floorless convert. Why isn't it filed with the SEC? The lack of filings on Edgar is another serious red flag about this company. I really don't need to look any further to know I don't want to be long IDBEF. Since it's under 5, there is really no point in looking to see if I want to short it.

Barb
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