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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 691.72-0.1%4:00 PM EST

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To: fedhead who wrote (17894)10/7/1998 8:08:00 AM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (1) of 69814
 
Good morning, Anindo;

>>>sold my inet stocks today

Me too. Many others must have done the same. No wonder we reversed.

>>>Will look for a better time to reenter YHOO, AMZN and AOL.

I haven't been back in AOL since ~117. That 1M shr. block trade a few days ago will spook traders for a while. Remember NT back in Jan?

>>>How low do you think NASDAQ goes before turning up?

We are down here because of five stocks(MSFT, INTC, CSCO, WCOM, DELL) dropping ~62 points in the last few trading sessions. They represent software, chip maker, networker, telecom, and computer maker industries. They also represent ~62% of the NDX and ~48% of the NAZ.

Therefore:
NAZ bottom=NDX bottom=(MSFT,INTC,CSCO,WCOM,DELL) bottom.

Next support for these stocks are:
msft @ 91, -7
intc @ 75, -4
csco @ 41, -5
wcom @ 41, -3
dell @ 50, -5
---total = -24

That's about 54 NAZ points. Add another 54 points for the rest of NAZ stocks in sympathy and you come up with 108 total points.

1510-108=1402

That's your absolute bottom.

I don't think we'll get there. I think we are close to a short-term bottom. Something awful must happen for NAZ to drop another 100 points.

>>>Will AMD make a difference ?
It should improve the psychology but in reality AMD did well because one out of every two PC shopper prefers to spend ~$1000 for a PC.

So should DELL go up today when AMD says that the PC market is strong?

You tell me.

Clint
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