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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: Douglas Webb who wrote (8772)10/7/1998 1:07:00 PM
From: Vol  Read Replies (3) of 14162
 
Re: naked index calls

Long time no post, I know. Been real busy lately. Got a new scheme I'm working on. The plan is selling out of the money index calls each month to provide a little income and to somewhat hedge my long portfolio.

I did some spreadsheet work and noticed that OEX and SPX very rarely closes above 8-10% from the previous month. Rarely = less than 3% of the time. I'm looking at selling the next month out OEX/SPX call naked at 8-10% above its current level. Example:

10/6/98
SPX 985
9% out = 1075
Nov 1075 call 12.8 bid
Margin requirement = 98.5 (10% of the index)
One and one half month return = 12.8/98.5 = 12.6%
Approx 8% per month

A few caveats:
1) I would keep 2x the margin requirement to be safe. Still is 4% per month.
2) My long portfolio covers the margin. If the market goes up (therefore my margin requirement), so does my portfolio (since it is diversified enough).

3-4% per month = 40-60% annualized

Have I been smoking something? Can someone shoot a hole in this plan?

Vol
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