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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: robert b furman who wrote (31007)10/9/1998 9:46:00 AM
From: Greg Jung  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
point counterpoint - BWTHDWK?

Positive Note # 2

A weaker dollar will solve the brasilian real possible devaluation.

COUNTERPOINT:
The weaker dollar inhibits recovery of the export-dominated Japanese economy. Japanese repatriation of funds dry up funds for business loans.

Positive Note # 3

A strong Yen will give Japan room to solve their ridiculous banking crisis with public fiat money - just like we jicky dooed the S & L crisis and the RTC. It did put an end to the problem (took 2-3 years)

COUNTERPOINT:
More business failures as the banking industry is saved.
Japanese cars in US now return 20% less revenue. Sinking financial conditions plunge banks into further peril.

Positive Note # 4

S & P tested the resistance line but didn't violate it.Don't all GOOD SHAKEOUTS require this? I THINK SO.
COUNTERPOINT:
Its a shakeup, not a shakeout.

Positive Note # 5 DJI just plain held!
COUNTERPOINT:
While Nasdaq plunges an equivalent 1500 Dow points, DJI stays the same or increases. This is good? Maybe it will serve to further concentrate the stock speculation to a new list of "untouchables".

Positive note # 6
Mr joe six pack has proven he is in this creation of capital for the long ...
COUNTERPOINT
Capital is being destroyed. It was never created by Joe Sixpak.
I'm not sure where it came from, what it is. Just that there's less of it.

Greg
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