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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: A. Fineigler who wrote (30565)10/10/1998 12:53:00 AM
From: shust  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
Fineigler,

Good questions. I own both too. GLM has more debt than ESV. I know a few people who work for ESV that think they are too big to be aquired and have spoken about GLM being a possible aquisition target for someone.

I have just finished reading a lengthy report about the downside potential for our dear drilling stocks. It talks about using asset values relative to their historical replacement cost. Getting down to numbers the research stated that offshore drilling stocks bottom at around 30-35% of replacement value. I don't want to spend hours rewriting what I read as it would bore everyone, but here are a few of the companies they stated as having potential downside prices with reference of 30-35% replacement values. Stock prices would be:

ESV $9.4
FLC $8.2
GLM $5.6
RDC $13.1
RIG $14.1

It's been a bloodbath. My only stock that has done well the past two weeks has been the Russian telecom co. Rostelcom. I'm up 40%. Go figure. The rest have been dogs. Just like everyone elses. Someday we will be happy. When, I don't know. All my oil friends say don't sell at these levels.

Best of luck,

shust
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