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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Pharmos(PARS)
PARS 2.700+13.6%Jan 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (1404)10/13/1998 10:24:00 PM
From: Ariella  Read Replies (1) of 1491
 
Q3 results not likely to be released till early November according to my conversations with management. We were told in August on conference call that Q3 sales for Lotemax and Alrex were likely to be sequentially lower because in June quarter pipeline was filled and revenue artificially spiked.

Management is on record saying it's got enough cash to last through Q1 1999 and maybe a little into second quarter. The CFO is a real penny-pincher (I mean that as a compliment). Last month I heard from contact in Israel that two analysts were already doing due diligence on the company, one was quite far along in process, and that we might get more visible coverage after Phase II results were known.

What we've got going now is the slightly delayed momentum we saw after the FDA approvals last winter. Management is actually doing a fine job at promoting the firm (the past few days' griping on the thread notwithstanding) and is using many opportunities to push the company name. Here's a rough calendar of events which I developed that could affect PARS stock price over the coming months:

1998

Q3
- Alrex & Lotemax will probably report lower revenue than in Q2 when products were launched and the pipeline initially filled.

Q4
- management expressed strong hope based on new prescription and repeat prescription figures that Alrex & Lotemax revenues would climb

October
-Pharmos delivered HU-211 paper at neurosurgical conference in Seattle (10/7).
-Pharmos spoke at New Jersey conference for fund managers (10/8).
-Dr. Aviv spoke today at a Prime Minister's day in Israel (10/13 - globes.co.il.

November
-looking for Ruder Finn IR firm to help get PARS management in front of some institutional groups
-Pharmos will be represented at a high-tech investors' conference in Tel Aviv sponsored by Robertson Stephens Evergreen, Ltd. (11/16 -17)
-Second paper on HU-211 will be delivered at a medical conference in New Orleans

December
- BOL expected to make application to sell Lotemax and Alrex in Europe for first or first two countries. (Anyone who wants to goose the bureaucratic BOL along in this process ought to call their Pharmaceutical Customer Service people:1-800-323-0000. Say you're a BOL shareholder and want to know when the Pharmos-related drugs will be out in Europe). Countries targeted initially for the likelihood that both drugs will get "special status," enabling a superior level of reimbursement. The rollout of the drugs will be on an ongoing basis over the next 2 years. European cut is 24% for PARS (versus 29% in the US). After the first two years its agreement with BOL alters and it has the right to "co-market." I understand this to mean its portion of sales theoretically can move up to 50%.

1999

First quarter
-hoped for sign on of HU-211 strategic partner
-move to Phase I clinical trials in tamoxifen study

Mid-year
-new drug application for LE-T
-Phase III for HU-211 initiated

Second half
-probable $2.6 million payment to PARS by BOL if LE-T has received regulatory approval in the US and the company has gotten regulatory approval in certain markets outside the US for Lotemax and Alrex
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