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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (1912)10/15/1998 4:44:00 AM
From: Q.  Read Replies (1) of 2506
 
re. a target for MCAR:

It's a development stage co., where the product they are attempting to license is merely a proprietary unpatented treatment method for urinary incontinence.

Here's what the latest prospectus says:

The Company relies on an unpatented proprietary treatment protocol and there can be no assurances that others may not independently develop the same or similar program or otherwise obtain access to the Company's unpatented proprietary protocols.

Looking at the financials, there isn't much to the co. other than just hope that doctors will license their treatment method:

They have $0.50 / sh cash, which they are burning at $0.12/sh per year.

The revenues are almost zero: just $0.08 per share, vs. $0.27/sh General and Admin expenses. So of course they lose money.

There have never been any R&D expenses, so I'm not sure what value their product might have. If it doesn't have any value, then the stock is worth at most the cash level of $0.50.

Given the recent turmoil in the board, I'd guess there's not a lot of good news coming around the pike regarding adoption of the product. So maybe their isn't much value to what they are doing.

So I'm inclined to be patient with this one, and set an interim target of $1 or so.
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